With the measures adopted in the autumn of 2019 as part of the 2030 climate package, efforts have once again been redoubled for the purposes of establishing sustainable mobility. The ambitious objective is the registration of up to 10 million electric vehicles in Germany by 2030.

Market development in electric vehicles has gained considerably more momentum. Nevertheless the stock numbers are still low compared to petrol and diesel vehicles. Over the coming years, development will continue to depend to a large extent on state support measures as well as political and societal framework conditions. The greatest obstacle at the moment in terms of the market ramp-up of electric vehicles – lack of vehicle availability – will resolve itself over the next few years because of the model offensive announced by automotive manufacturers and the obligations arising from the EU’s fleet consumption limits.

Based on the analysis of the political and regulatory framework conditions, the evaluation of major funding measures and specific incentive instruments as well as the monitoring of the range of available vehicles and market trends, the development of the market for electric vehicles in Germany until 2030 is to be forecast and the necessary funding demand identified. This task will be undertaken by the ISME (Institut Stadt|Mobilität|Energie) together with the Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research, EE Energy Engineers and Noerr LLP over the next two years and accordingly they will conduct the accompanying research in the “Elektromobilität vor Ort” funding programme of the Federal Ministry of Transport and Digital Infrastructure.

The priorities:

  • Forecast of market development until 2030 and the necessary funding requirements
  • Analysis of market development in the field of electric mobility in seven international markets and ‘lessons learned’ for German development
  • Creation of an application- and implementation-oriented action guideline and establishment of the “Procurement and integration of e-vehicles in fleets” working group.